Star Tribune (10/29-31, likely voters, 10/16-17 in parens):
Franken (D): 42 (39)
Coleman (R-inc): 38 (36)
Barkley (I): 15 (18)
Other/Undecided: 4 (7)
(MoE: ±4.1%)
This has been one hell of a race and looks to be as tight as they come, with a very narrow lead for Franken in the Pollster average:
Election night should be pretty fun in Minnesota.
will only be fun if Franken pulls it out. It would be a party if Madia and Tinklenberg win too.
Only the very brave would call this one. I guess the fact both MN papers have Franken up is a good sign.
And if we’re going to get to 60, we need this one, as it looks like Kentucky may have just slipped away.
The less he gets, the more likely a Franken victory is.
slightly against us in the last week, probably due to the Coleman money laundering lawsuit. Al Franken needs a strong performance in the debate tonight if he is to win here, though.
I really do. And I think we will. It’s going to be really close though.
….is that this is from the same sample that gave Barack Obama a modest 11-point lead in Minnesota. Star Tribune polls are notorious for having lousy samples in one direction or the other. In this case, Obama’s 11-point lead is somewhat conservative compared to what other pollsters are showing in Minnesota, so the fact that Franken has a four-point edge in a sample that gave Obama a mere 11-point edge makes think the Franken bounce may be real.
…this weekend were very favorable for Franken. Nearly everyone who supported Obama also supported Franken….better than 95% success among the households on his list. Of course this was among union households in the Democratic stronghold of Austin, but nonetheless encouraging given that a Catholic town like Austin could potentially be hostile territory for a candidate as controversial as Franken.